The rise and fall of the price of stainless steel seamless pipe in recent years

In the past five years, the price of stainless steel seamless pipes has changed greatly, and there has been a sharp rise and fall. For the market outlook, as the structural adjustment of the industry increases, the price of seamless pipes may gradually return to rationality.

From 2013 to 2017, the price trend of stainless steel seamless pipes showed a trend of falling first and then rising, with the low point appearing at the end of 2015 and the low price was 2113 yuan/ton. The high point appeared in December 2017, and the high price was 5464 yuan / ton. In terms of specific years, the price trend of stainless steel seamless pipes in the past five years can be divided into two stages: the first phase of 2013-2015 seamless pipe prices accelerated down, according to data monitoring Shandong 108*4.5 seamless pipe prices from 2013 At the beginning of the year, 4,300 yuan / ton fell to 2,113 yuan / ton at the end of 2015, a total of 2,187 yuan / ton in three years, a cumulative decline of up to 50.86%. The decline rate has increased year by year, with a decline of 11.63% in 2013, a decrease of 19.27% ​​in 2014 and a decrease of 30.53% in 2015. Analysis shows that the reason for the continuous decline of seamless pipes at this stage is that the contradiction between supply and demand of seamless pipes continues to highlight the market, business confidence declines, and prices fall. In the second stage, the price of seamless pipes in 2016-2017 stopped falling. The price of seamless pipes in Shandong 108*4.5 increased from 2113 yuan/ton at the beginning of 2016 to 5464 yuan/ton at the end of 2017, which increased by 3,351 yuan/ Tons, the increase was as high as 158.58%. According to the analysis, the continuous elimination of backward production capacity and the implementation of the production and production suspension policy in the past two years have eased the contradiction between supply and demand of seamless pipes and the price has continued to rise. Among them, the increase in 2016 was large, with an increase of 88.96%.

Into the market in 2018, the wood continued to rise. According to statistics, the price of stainless steel seamless pipes in the first half of January 2018 showed a trend of falling, and the price of seamless pipes dropped to 5,464 yuan/ton to 4,800 yuan/ton, nearly half. The monthly decline of 450-500 yuan / ton, the analysis is mainly due to the lack of demand follow-up caused by the rapid rise of the previous price, resulting in increased market risk. At the same time, as the market continues to decline, the market's enthusiasm for getting goods is reduced, and the price of the tube is further suppressed.

For the market outlook, the market mentality is still cautious and not optimistic. The market demand for release of the market was limited. It is expected that the seamless pipe market will continue to be weak. For the year-end market, the current merchants' willingness to stockpile is not strong. After the recovery of demand in the future, the price of stainless steel seamless pipes will not be ruled out. Merchants are advised to operate with care and control inventory.